Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 178.300262 195.066206 212.183989 230.938382 250.877859 271.414591 294.135156
2024-12-15 150.631873 175.670313 202.392377 232.906967 266.658988 302.724271 344.046952
2024-12-22 129.854113 160.828068 195.268938 236.088821 282.827538 334.357785 395.143726
2024-12-29 116.146107 152.017679 193.410847 244.103578 303.894984 371.571439 453.338883
2025-01-05 103.851320 143.259853 190.343194 249.758528 321.725370 405.084956 507.905554
2025-01-12 90.796515 132.024639 183.003075 249.221840 331.471128 428.806800 551.160867
2025-01-19 79.832795 122.174882 176.281047 248.492546 340.280883 451.032152 592.619501
2025-01-26 74.178213 118.624907 177.027549 256.749738 360.017661 486.584336 650.582018
2025-02-02 68.702367 114.690109 176.767079 263.334965 377.467402 519.383858 705.545332
2025-02-09 64.160034 111.559738 177.178169 270.504838 395.538960 553.042346 761.925694
2025-02-16 59.873052 108.346881 177.114627 276.776182 412.332141 585.169668 816.723410
2025-02-23 51.853495 98.744261 167.350980 269.122563 410.131458 592.572796 839.978625
2025-03-02 45.737891 91.606680 160.769304 265.679164 413.593179 607.598094 873.652033
2025-03-09 41.675903 87.376725 158.165910 267.667255 424.405738 632.404937 920.383951
2025-03-16 38.358645 84.051437 156.667423 271.077832 437.152723 659.922531 971.044576
2025-03-23 36.570403 83.174880 158.842214 279.876033 457.579288 698.023784 1036.180426
2025-03-30 34.372012 81.341577 159.342192 286.086100 474.371358 731.404317 1095.463602
2025-04-06 31.006226 77.011804 155.513498 285.471500 481.207990 751.183863 1136.722693
2025-04-13 27.941409 72.898470 151.728385 284.653498 487.567175 770.250272 1177.129100
2025-04-20 26.888480 72.604961 154.288109 293.762491 508.613384 809.935524 1245.926406
2025-04-27 25.599475 71.695182 155.700627 301.023004 526.986550 846.075968 1310.258188
2025-05-04 24.509331 71.073402 157.530417 308.924868 546.378155 883.817904 1377.114952
2025-05-11 23.340205 70.158820 158.761315 315.832754 564.340473 919.722920 1441.795926